I believe the thing that will get NCSoft to release its IP is really simple:
Time.
This live service, and this IP, loses value every day. It'll continue to lose value after November 30th at a much more rapid pace.
People will forget and move on elsewhere. The developers would have moved on. Once it loses its usefulness as a tax writeoff, it'll just be in an archive. And the longer time goes by, the less likely it is that anyone,
anyone, will want to make a deal on it.
See, the time to buy this service isn't now, because the seller has the advantage. The time to buy this service is a year or two from now. Failing that, three years from now. See, at that point, the buyer has the advantage.
That is assuming, of course, that we'll care at that point. Assuming that we do, there will probably come a point in time when NCSoft will be more than happy to unload a 2004-era property that has been just collecting dust in an archive, and the price will be far more favorable than now.
Oh, and by the way, hi (just joined today)