So far, if I recall correctly, FatherXmas (you have been paying better attention to this than me, the stock market makes my head hurt) these Korean analysts have pretty much been wrong on the predictions of where the stock was going? The only time they were right was the big bump following the release of GW2, then the fall when it sold 2 million boxes instead of the predicted 6 million (a fall the analysts did not predict).
GW sold around 7 million copies, split between the original game and the various expansions (and combo editions), world wide including Asia. This is why I can't believe anybody would have suggested that GW2 would sell 6 million just in NA and Europe in it's first month. Therefore the market couldn't have been disappointed by it's 46,000 million KrW sales numbers for that 1 month in 3Q.
Of course that said I took a walk down memory lane at KDB Daewoo Securities and found
this release from Sept 3rd 2012 where it's mentioned a prediction of 5-6 million units sold in 2012 (I think they meant to say 2013). However in the very next paragraph they specifically state that they expect the game to sell 3.12 million units in 2012 with another 1.54 million in 2013 with roughly 10% of the owners spending $15 USD a month in the store.
Going back even further these guys had the stock hitting 510,000 (
) before they started to lower estimates almost with every release relating to NCSoft.
Going back even further to
July, they had an interesting tidbit about Blade & Soul in Korea. 31% of the accounts were to women. They also stated that the population distribution relating to age was 39% in their 20s, 29% in their 30s and 24% in their 40s. That's 92% there with over 50% age 30 or older. Why am I more crept out now that I know this?