Honestly from day 1 I have made the assumption that we would succeed.
I never let it enter my head that we would fail. This effort is well along the path and all of the failed efforts I have data from added further information on how to proceed the next time. If this one fails - did I mention 3 other studios contacted me? This will be done by either this effort or another one.
I have zero doubt in it happening as contrary to what may have floated at one point, NCSoft is open to talks. The problem is it is a HUGE company and you have to find the right guy to get in the door. We have that guy and it is in his hands. Outside of the first Paragon buyout attempt they did not have the main contact. NCSoft is huge and mainly impersonal, what happened with the first effort and people involved is highly unlikely to impact this effort with different folks.
I knew CoX couldn't be kept shut down myself, as I had seen trends in games before. I thought of the fallout franchise, and something Cliffy B said, in that it was another company that brought the fallout franchise back onto the radar, I was left thinking "there is no way city of heroes could remain shut down, someone else will likely get rights to it sooner or later", and also thought when I was on that last day, and saw so many people on I was left thinking "This game is to popular to be shutting down".
I remembered that, in general, every good franchise has it's dark moments. The diablo series for example, diablo 3 was a particularly poor game on both release, and up until "Diablo 3 2.0" came out, it wasn't fun at higher difficulties. The total war series had empire total war, and napoleon. Both very big departures from the game, but it had a come back with shogun 2(I won't say much about rome 2, that game released in beta).
It may be city of heroes being shut down was the start of one of it's dark moments. It may be it's coming back may be the beginning of it's come back. I'm still hopeful.